Chinese herbal medicine prices fall or "irreversible"

The price trend of Chinese herbal medicines in the market reversed after July, especially since September, and prices of some Chinese herbal medicines went down from rising to rising, among which Taizishen and Codonopsis had a significant decrease. The wholesale price of Taizishen in September decreased by 25% from August. . According to the September 2011 market price monitoring report released by the Chinese herbal medicine network, the overall trend of the pharmaceutical market showed an accelerated fall. In terms of weight and breadth, the falling price varieties are strong in price-rising varieties. Judging from the 537 varieties monitored, compared with August, 63 price-raising varieties accounted for about 12% of the total; 177 price-cutting varieties accounted for about 33% of the total; 297 cheap-priced varieties accounted for about 55 of the total. %. The number of price-cutting varieties is obviously more than the number of price-raising varieties.

Do all kinds of Chinese herbal medicine price fall index indicate that the inflection point of price in the later period is coming? According to industry analysts, the periodical factors in the Chinese herbal medicine market are objective laws of price fluctuations. The operation of the Chinese herbal medicine market has a certain periodicity. The current round of price increase of Chinese herbal medicines has started from the end of 2009 to now, and the cycle has been close to two years. Its objective cyclical law has led to a sharp drop in market prices.

Of course, market supply and demand are still the main factors determining the price fluctuations in the Chinese medicine market. As some varieties of early prices soared, stimulated by higher prices, drug farmers get together to plant, the increase in production will inevitably lead to a substantial increase in the supply of medicinal herbs, which prompted the price to adjust downwards. At the same time, state regulation has also exerted a significant deterrent effect on the price increase of medicinal herbs. Considering multiple factors, if the unexpected situation does not occur, it is expected that the downward trend in the market will continue in the later period. However, due to the stability of demand for Chinese herbal medicines and the increase in production costs, the decline will not be too great.

The national TCM market price index (KLCI 200) continued to fall more strongly in the second half of September following the previous period's larger decline. The index fell again. From September 19 to September 25, the KLCI 200 reported a close at 2427.24 points, a week-on-week decline in the current index not only fell to this year's lowest, but also fell to the same period in 2010.

After the fall, they should have entered the traditional Chinese medicine before spending peak season. Due to the centralized procurement of pharmaceutical companies and the fall and winter supplements of the public, the demand for traditional Chinese medicines will greatly increase. However, in September of this year, sales of traditional Chinese medicines have seen an embarrassing situation of “no busy season”. Taking Cordyceps as an example, Zheng Haotao, head of Jifangtang, who specializes in high-end supplements, said that in September, this was the peak season for sales, but Cordyceps had seen an unprecedented decline in sales and prices. Jia Haibin, the deputy general manager of Chinese medicine Caitiandi.com, said that after the prices of drugs had gone through high prices in the earlier period, the demand of pharmaceutical companies and the public was inhibited. For some high-priced varieties, the pharmaceutical factories cut production and even stopped production. To reduce demand.

In September, when the drug market suffered from “prosperous peak seasons,” the Chinese medicine firm Cai Tiandi analyzed that the herbal medicine market will also face new pressure in the fall. It is expected that it will continue to face a situation in which sales are difficult to sell and the market liquidity capacity will be further weakened. Affected by the overall wind direction of the market, all varieties can hardly be said to have risen. In the second half of the year, the market can only be driven by actual sales. The procurement method is mainly based on purchase and sales, and the sales method is mainly based on more conservative orders.

In the past two years, the foam of Chinese herbal medicines has rapidly expanded, and the price has soared several times or even several times. Taizishen has risen from RMB 50 to RMB 500 per kilogram, which has only taken more than one year; Sanchi has gone from RMB 670 to RMB 6 per kilogram. Seven hundred yuan took less than two years. According to the monitoring data of the Chinese Medicine Association, in 2010, 84% of 537 kinds of Chinese herbal medicines in the national market went up in price, with an average increase of 109%, and 96 varieties with more than 100% increase.

For Chinese herbal medicines, the price cuts against the market, many in the pharmaceutical industry attributed it to speculators throwing goods. Liu Chang, a sales manager at a pharmaceutical company in Guangzhou, said that in addition to Chinese herbal medicine dealers, many speculators have entered this market. A large amount of funds has helped increase prices of Chinese herbal medicines. Currently, many merchants in Yunnan and Gansu are large. The dumping of goods has led to a drop in the prices of Chinese herbal medicines. Anbang research team believes that as in the past few years, Pu'er tea has been stir-fried, and since the last year there have been "Too You Play", "Gao Gaozong", and "Garlic and Citrus" repeatedly. Since 2009, the Chinese herbal medicine foam has shown the flow in the economy. The situation of excess sex.

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